9. Projections for the population of Staffordshire residents with disabilities can be found in table 1. Over the period 2020 to 2040 the total population of Staffordshire residents aged 18 to 64 is predicted to remain roughly static. The population with a moderate to severe learning disability, who are likely to require care and support, is predicted to grow slightly. The population with a moderate or severe personal care disability is predicted to fall slightly. The population of people with an autistic spectrum condition is expected to grow by 9%.
10. The greatest increase in the number of people with a learning disability is expected to be in the 45-54 age range which is predicted to increase by 171 people (6%) from 2,790 to 2,961. In the same period the number of people aged 55-64 with a learning disability is expected to decrease by 304 individuals (-12%) from 2,856 to 2,552.
Table 1: Disability Population projections for Staffordshire 2020-2040
| | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | Change 2020 - 2040 |
|---|
| General population aged 18-64 |
517,600
|
520,400
|
519,300
|
518,000
|
521,300
|
1%
|
|---|
| General population aged 65 + |
194,800
|
209,700
|
229,800
|
247,500
|
257,000
|
32%
|
|---|
| Population aged 18 - 64 with a learning disability |
12,562
|
12,640
|
12,650
|
12,660
|
12,759
|
1.50%
|
|---|
| Population aged 65+ with a learning disability |
4,077
|
4,370
|
4,790
|
5,194
|
5,413
|
33%
|
|---|
| Population aged 18 - 64 with a moderate or severe learning disability |
2,856
|
2,880
|
2,900
|
2,910
|
2,936
|
3%
|
|---|
| Population aged 65+ with a moderate or severe learning disability |
546
|
575
|
628
|
678
|
690
|
26%
|
|---|
| People aged 18 - 64 with a learning disability and challenging behaviour |
233
|
234
|
234
|
233
|
235
|
0.90%
|
|---|
| Population aged 18 and over with autistic spectrum disorders |
7,042
|
7,208
|
7,392
|
7,553
|
7,681
|
9.10%
|
|---|
| aged 18 - 64 predicted to have a moderate personal care disability |
21,700
|
22,000
|
21,600
|
20,900
|
21,000
|
-3%
|
|---|
| aged 18 - 64 predicted to have a severe personal care disability |
4,700
|
4,800
|
4,700
|
4,600
|
4,600
|
-2%
|
|---|
Source: www.pansi.org.uk version 14.2 and www.poppi.org.uk version 14.2.