Older people in Staffordshire The table below shows the projected needs of older people living in Staffordshire.
Table 1: Projected needs of older people in Staffordshire 2021-2040
| | 2021 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | % change 2021-2040 |
|---|
| Population aged 65 and over |
197,600 |
209,800 |
229,600 |
247,500 |
257,000 |
30% |
| Limiting long-term illness |
100,600 |
108,800 |
119,100 |
128,300 |
135,100 |
34% |
| Unable to manage at least one self-care activity on their own |
56,000 |
60,700 |
67,000 |
72,100 |
75,900 |
36% |
| Unable to manage at least one domestic task on their own |
56,500 |
61,500 |
67,800 |
72,800 |
77,100 |
36% |
| Number of falls in last year |
52,200 |
56,000 |
62,200 |
67,400 |
70,500 |
35% |
| Number of hospital admissions due to falls |
6,200 |
7,000 |
8,000 |
8,500 |
9,100 |
46% |
| Dementia |
13,600 |
15,00 |
17,000 |
18,800 |
20,400 |
50% |
1 Numbers and percentages may not add up due to rounding. Source: Projecting Older People Population Information (POPPI); Dementia UK: update, © Alzheimer’s Society 2014; 2018-based population projections, Office for National Statistics, Crown copyright
- The number of people aged 18 and over with a moderate or severe learning disability (who are therefore likely to require care) is estimated to increase from 3,400 to 3,600
- The number of people aged 18-64 with a mental health condition is estimated to increase slightly from 97,800 people in 2021 to 98,500 in 2040
- The number of people aged 18-64 estimated to have a moderate or severe personal care disability is estimated to fall from 26,400 people in 2021 to 25,600 in 2040
Adults aged 18-64 in Staffordshire
Based on 2018-based population projections, the number of Staffordshire residents aged 18 to 64 is predicted to remain static between 2021 and 2040.
Table 2: Population projections for those aged 18-64 in Staffordshire 2021-2040
| | 2021 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | % change 2021-2040 |
|---|
| Population aged 18-64 |
518,100 |
520,300 |
519,300 |
518,000 |
521,300 |
0.6% |
| Learning disability (18 and over) |
7,000 |
7,200 |
7,400 |
7,600 |
7,700 |
10% |
| Mental health conditions |
97,800 |
98,200 |
98,100 |
97,900 |
98,500 |
1% |
| Autism spectrum conditions |
7,000 |
7,200 |
7,400 |
7,600 |
7,700 |
10% |
| Moderate personal care disability |
21,700 |
22,000 |
21,600 |
20,900 |
21,000 |
-3% |
| Severe personal care disability |
4,700 |
4,800 |
4,700 |
4,600 |
4,600 |
-2% |
| Impaired mobility |
30,200 |
31,100 |
30,600 |
29,200 |
29,100 |
-4% |
Source: Projecting Adult Needs and Service Information (PANSI), Adult Psychiatric Morbidity Survey 2014 (APMS 2014), NHS Digital, Copyright © 2016, Health and Social Care Information Centre. NHS Digital is the trading name of the Health and Social Care Information Centre, 2011 Census, Office for National Statistics, Crown copyright and 2018-based population projections, Office for National Statistics, Crown copyright.
- Around 51% of people aged 65 and over in Staffordshire are estimated to have a limiting long-term illness. Between 2021 and 2040, this is projected to increase to 53%, which would equate to 34,500 additional people
- Around 28% of older people are unable to manage at least one self-care activity on their own. This is projected to increase to 30% or 19,900 additional people by 2040. In addition, around 29% of older people are unable to manage at least one domestic task independently
- National research indicates that around seven in ten people aged 65 and over who are admitted to hospital due to a hip fracture require post support and care. In Staffordshire around 52,200 people aged 65 and over are estimated to have fallen at least once in the last 12 months which is predicted to increase by 35% to 70,500 people by 2040
- Assuming that the prevalence of dementia remains the same, the ageing population means that the total number of people aged 65 and over with dementia in Staffordshire is projected to rise from around 13,600 in 2021 to 17,000 in 2030; an increase of 25% and to 20,400 by 2040; an increase of 50%